Real Madrid vs Dortmund

Head-to-Head Dominance

Real Madrid hold the edge with an 8–3–5 record across 16 meetings; unbeaten in their last five encounters, including a 2–0 win in the 2024 Champions League final .

Current Form & Momentum

Real Madrid are strong under Xabi Alonso, exiting Juventus with a 1–0 win and maintaining firm defensive shape .

Dortmund are revitalized under Niko Kovac, won their group and reached quarters with Guirassy’s brace vs Monterrey. However, key playmaker Jobe Bellingham is suspended .

Tactics & Stats

Madrid average 2.16 goals/game domestically and hit over 1.5 goals in ~97% of home matches , while Dortmund conceded ~2.2 goals/game recently .

Opta forecasts a tight match but lean Madrid victory (~1.6–1.65 odds) ― with under 2.5 goals a strong value at

~2.4 .